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   By 路人 on Saturday, October 16, 2010 - 10:53 am:  Edit Posted From: 218.191.46.94

這個樂園失蹤女子個案,似是一個007失蹤個案……

   By Jackwabbit (Jackwabbit) on Friday, October 15, 2010 - 8:16 pm:  Edit Posted From: 116.49.114.43

http://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/201010/12/P201010120164.htm

失蹤女子尋回
******
警方尋回一名於十月五日在大嶼山報失的三十一歲女子。

三十一歲非洲裔女子Nebiat Tekle Menchsteab於九月來港,她於十月五日在大嶼山一主題公園出現後便告失蹤,其僱主於同日向警方報案。她於今日(十月十二日)在牛頭角宏光道被尋回。

她沒有受傷,案件沒有可疑。

警察公共關係科新聞公布第十二號




2010年10月12日(星期二)
香港時間13時35分

   By Jackwabbit (Jackwabbit) on Sunday, October 10, 2010 - 12:51 am:  Edit Posted From: 119.236.94.19

OK, I got it.
One of the photo in the MP report was a surveillance photo, probably ( just like the last case ) taken on the same day the MP was missing. This beg the question, where and when was it taken?

I assume there was no photo taken of her on any public transport leaving the area.

   By 隨風 on Saturday, October 09, 2010 - 11:27 pm:  Edit Posted From: 112.118.200.246

This is no ordinary missing person...

She is hired by...
http://orientaldaily.on.cc/cnt/news/20101008/00176_041.html

There is no need to show the pass when leaving the park thru. the normal exit: the front gate. No one will show up and check your belongings, no one will check you pass when you leave the park.

I wonder if there is "total surveillance" at the front gate (exit)! Moreover, is the police able to produce warrant to obtain the video surveillance? ... Who knows?

Aside from that, there are numerous different exits, including those for the disney artists...

   By Jackwabbit (Jackwabbit) on Saturday, October 09, 2010 - 10:32 pm:  Edit Posted From: 119.236.94.19

http://www.police.gov.hk/ppp_tc/06_appeals_public/missing/detail.html?id=435
於2010年10月05日...約下午1時左右在迪士尼樂園內,不知所蹤。
English version of the same police MP report:
At about 0900 hours on 2010-10-05, MP left the above hotel went to Disneyland. At about 1300 hrs MP was found missing after that.

Strange, she was missing in a search area of 100% POA,probability of area!
I assume because of park security and surveillance, she is actually confined within the park!
Does it mean there was a PLS at about 13:00 or Time Last Contacted ( TLC, OK I just made this up ) at around 13:00 but that location was not known?

Unless, something else is not right with the Chinese version.

The publicity of this case is soooo different than the NZ pilot case.

搜索概率論 Search Probability Theory, google "land SAR + this term":
POS 成\率 = POA 在這區域內的機會率 X POD 發現的機會率

   By 路人 on Friday, October 01, 2010 - 5:30 pm:  Edit Posted From: 218.191.46.94

Infrared film : Kodak IR1443
Colour film: Agfa X400

   By 盲拳小子 on Friday, October 01, 2010 - 2:18 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

農曆八月廾三是黃大仙寶誕 之後的三天 ( 10-1/2/3 ) 呈祥道元清閣都有法事和燒紙衣箱等儀式

上星期六 ( 9-25 ) 曾去過元清閣繳費用/上香 也順道為尋找行山失縱人仕祈福
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
事有湊巧

當天約 11:50 a.m. 到達 剛好有一批道士在廟內 於是先了去繳費
繳費後問 : 是否有法事 可不可以上香
答 : 哦 今天 12點請祖師 而家可以上香喇

   By 隨風 on Saturday, August 07, 2010 - 12:01 pm:  Edit Posted From: 119.237.166.110

Much appreciated.

I guess one need to ask the Lands Dept. for the equipment used for taking IR Aerial Photos.

   By MKSJ on Saturday, August 07, 2010 - 11:25 am:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

For the regular Air Photo, it is a Zeiss Camera-Type RMK TOP 30 with a Topas A3 lens using Kodak Film.

The Air Photo are therefore not digital in nature at-the-first instance.

No info on the Infra-Red Air Photos.

   By 隨風 on Friday, August 06, 2010 - 8:40 pm:  Edit Posted From: 119.237.161.48

Many thanks to MKSJ.

However, I was wondering if the photos were taken with digital camera, or if they were taken with with film equip.?

If it is non-digital, shouldn't it be better off with the actual film / with the photo printout from Lands Dept.?

   By MKSJ on Friday, August 06, 2010 - 2:28 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

Here are some technical points on searching for an object via Air Photos using Photoshop :
1. TIFF is in Red-Green-Blue format : ( 1 byte = 8 bits )
8 bits for the 256 shades of Red / 8 bits for the 256 shades of Green / 8 bits for the 256 shades of Blue .

2. After opening the Air Photo file in TIFF format , select [ Actual Pixels ] for the magnification option .
This is 100 per cent magnification and the display on screen is [ pixel-for-pixel ] so that there is no further adjustments to the original color for each pixel on the original TIFF file .

3. Use the [ small box ] within the [ Thumbnail Area ] on the Top-Left Corner of the screen to move around to the desired location .

4. Use [ 150 per cent / 200 per cent / 300 per cent ] magnification at-will to get a closer look if so desired .

5. Use [ 400 per cent ] magnification for checking purposes .
In [ 400 per cent ] magnification , a [ 1 x 1 pixel area ] becomes a [ 2 x 2 pixels area ] .
And under such circumstances , it is not necessary for the program to make adjustments to the colors of interim pixels as in [ 150 / 200 / 300 per cent magnifications ] .

And that is to say :
In [ 400 per cent ] magnification , a [ 1 x 1 pixel area of yellow-color ] will always show up as a [ 2 x 2 pixels area of yellow-color ] , regardless of what colors the [ adjacent/surrounding-pixels ] are.
xxxxxxxx
BTW :
The Land Department also , from time to time , take infra-red pictures of the terrain from the Air .

My understanding here is that this is for the purpose of keeping track of the health-status of the trees .

However , I do not know whether the picture are taken during day-time or at night.
Presumably , flying at night might require extra caution.

   By Jackwabbit (Jackwabbit) on Saturday, July 24, 2010 - 2:59 pm:  Edit Posted From: 116.48.49.127

KK321828 就是這張空中照片 ﹐謝謝盲拳爺

yourpic.jpg

   By MKSJ on Wednesday, July 21, 2010 - 8:07 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

In the [ CS 25623 Air Photo ] , there is actually an object at KK321828 :
1. vaguely looks like a person with a white cap , light-blue raincoat , and dark-color pants,
2. the person was standing by-the-sea on the rocks ,
3. the person was facing towards the camera when the picture was taken .

A first guess here is that this is an angler/fisherman.

xxxxxxxx
The image of the [ white-cap and the light-blue raincoat ] measures roughly [ 7 pixels x 9 pixels ] , i.e. :
1. [ left-shoulder to right-shoulder ] is [ 7 pixels ] ,
2. [ knee-height to white-cap ] is [ 9 pixels ] .

xxxxxxxx
And because this spot is very close to the edge of the [ CS 25623 Air Photo ] , the [ angle-of-incidence ] here is roughly estimated at [22-degrees to-the-vertical-line ] .

And that is to say :
1. If the angler/fisherman was standing directly below the air-plane when the picture was taken, the [ angle-of-incidence ] would have been close to [ zero-degrees ] . And under such circumstances, only his white-cap and his 2 shoulders would show up in the picture, possibly only a [ 7 pixels x 2 pixels ] image .

2. But because the actual [ angle-of-incidence ] at this spot is roughly [ 22-degrees ] , we can now see more of his body-frame , i.e. the view here is a [ slanting-in view ] .

xxxxxxxx
It is agreed that the use of Air Photos for searching operations is always difficult and chances of finding the MP is usually very low.

But Air Photos do give a better feel of the terrain , which may sometimes be helpful .

   By 路人 on Monday, July 12, 2010 - 9:15 pm:  Edit Posted From: 218.191.46.94

盲爺,
如果用2009年的相片去找一件只有不足0.4公尺x0.2公尺的物件(背囊,遺物第),除非物件和背景有相當大的反差,否則是不可能觀察到甚麼出來。但是,利用航空照片去尋找剛死去不太久遠的屍體,技術上和事實上是可能的。不過第一照片要和失蹤時間相差不太遠,第二是失蹤者和其物品必需要外露沒有被植物、樹木掩蓋,第三是需要利用立體檢視的方式來「感受」目標的存在。

   By MKSJ on Tuesday, April 06, 2010 - 12:19 am:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

Have already took a close look at the [ CS25623 Air Photo ] , but no new findings at this point in time.

xxxxxxxx
This picture was taken in the morning of 2009-11-24, with the sun shining from the South-East / South-South-East.

Since Wong Juk Lik is running from West-to-East , the gorges at [ Pond-888 ] , [ Pond-555 ] and [ S-Shaped Gorge ] upstream are all in the shadow and therefore all dark-colored. Nothing to be seen here.

Probably the same situation with the other 2 Air photos.

xxxxxxxx
This [ Air Photo ] was taken during medium/high-tide. The channels in-between the Flat-Rocks and the near-by Stones in the sea are covered by the sea-water and waves. This Air-Photo is therefore not very useful here either.

xxxxxxxx
Upon checking, it is found that the [ Spot A ] on 2009-1-24 was wrongly marked, based on the photograph taken at the time by Saikunger. The spot is not in the pathway/river-bed of [ River R2 ] , but off-to the north on the footpath about 4-8 meters.

This spot has bushes in the windward direction and it is now presumed that the smell was filtering thru the bushes.

xxxxxxxxx
Currently looking at tide-tables again.

Most grateful if Lonely Ranger / Lester / Saikunger / Tommy can provide the sighting-times at [ Spot B ] and [ Spot C ] on 2009-1-28.

   By 野人 on Sunday, March 21, 2010 - 10:10 am:  Edit Posted From: 218.191.46.94

CS focal length = 305mm or 12 "
CW focal length = 152mm or 6"

1X Photo Scale of CS at 6000' = 1:6000

   By MKSJ on Saturday, March 20, 2010 - 10:03 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

For those contemplating a search in the Wong Juk Lik / Cham Shuen Wan area , three (3) Air Photos here might be helpful in the assessment of the terrain :
1. CS 25622 taken on 2009-11-24 at 6,000 ft. ; centered roughly at KK 319828 .
2. CS 25623 taken on 2009-11-24 at 6,000 ft. ; centered roughly at KK 315828 .
3. CS 25624 taken on 2009-11-24 at 6,000 ft. ; centered roughly at KK 311828 .

Special Note : [ CS ] series Air Photos are taken with a [ Straight Lens ] , as opposed to a [ Wide Angle Lens ] .

   By 盲拳小子 on Thursday, October 29, 2009 - 11:05 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.82.82.238

這裡 有個想法 就是 :
1. 若氣味來源是在 [ Pond-555 ] 至 [ Pond-666 ] 這段峭壁的涯底 很有可能在 Point A , Point B 和 Point C 都聞得到

For further thoughts and evaluation.

   By 盲拳小子 on Thursday, October 29, 2009 - 10:32 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

這是三個項目之中的項目三
xxxxxxxxxx
前一陣子 下午抽空去了赤柱飲咖啡 之後沿堤岸踱步去卜公碼頭
在堤岸轉彎位 海灣中有個石堆 中間有個凹位 有o野藏在凹位 就會睇唔到
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
搜索時也可留意較隱敝位置

   By 盲拳小子 on Thursday, October 29, 2009 - 10:30 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

這是三個項目之中的項目二
xxxxxxxxx
之前有報道 [ 蠟筆小新 ] 之父 , [ 臼井儀人 ] 先生 , 在行山時失蹤 幾天後遺體已被尋回 亦同時搭獲了他的相機
日本警方跟據相機裡的資料和相片 估計 [ 臼井儀人 ] 是在映相時墮涯的
xxxxxxxx
這裡 也提供一個可能條性 就是
1. MP 當日在某一個景點試圖張靚相
2. 於是放下背囊 並拿出相機
3. 攀上岩石頂或其他有利位置
4. 映相時失足出事

   By 盲拳小子 on Thursday, October 29, 2009 - 10:11 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

再來三個項目 或會對提搜索行動有幫助 這是項目一 再次看看氣流的情況
xxxxxxxxxx
首先 用的兩張圖 是 message on 2009-8-05 at 8:04 p.m.and 8:06 p.m. 的兩幅地圖 :
1. 並確認 [ Pond-888 ] , [ Pond-777 ] , [ Pond-666 ] , [ Pond-555 ] , 和 [ River R2 ] 的位置

這裡 也先列出幾個水池 ponds 的海拔高度 ( ASL = Above Sea Level )
[ Pond-888 ] 約 8米 ASL
[ Pond-777 ] 約 30 - 32米 ASL
[ Pond-666 ] 約 30 - 32米 ASL
[ Pond-555 ] 約 44 -50米 ASL
xxxxxxxxxx
這裡 也列出一個 experiment ( 實驗 ) 的 proposal , 在思維方面會有參考價值

Experiment 的 proposal 如下 :
STAGE ONE : 先將工作人員分成四組
o紅組 -- 負責在 [ Pond-888 ] 放紅色煙霧彈
o藍組 -- 負責在 [ Pond-888 ] 兩旁高 20米ASL 位置放兩枚藍色煙霧彈
o綠組 -- 負責在沉船灣畔高 20米ASL 位置放多枚綠色煙霧彈 約每隔30米放置一枚
o橙組 -- 負責在 [ Pond-555 ] 放橙色煙霧彈

STAGE TWO : 等待在吹七級東北風時 進行 experiment ( 實驗 ) :
o17:00 hr. -- 紅組在 [ Pond-888 ] 釋放持續性的紅色煙霧
o17:03 hr. -- 藍組在 [ Pond-888 ] 兩旁釋放持續性的籃色煙霧
o17:10 hr. -- 綠組在沉船灣畔釋放持續性的綠色煙霧
o17:20 hr. -- 橙組在 [ Pond-555 ] 釋放持續性的橙色煙霧

假設盲拳這時在上空的直升機望下來 :
1. 首先會見到紅色煙霧衝上 gorge 窄峽谷位 轉彎後經 [ Pond-777 ] 或附近去 [ Pond-666 ]
2. 之後紅色煙霧會被 [ 扯 ] 入 [ River R2 ] 河道 轉o左 KK 3156 8255 的 [倒 S型彎 ] 後會沿河道直撲 KK 3123 8236 位置 即河流的起源點 近 [ 東灣山/米粉頂坳位 ]
3. 藍色的煙霧 起步點是在 20米ASL 比紅色煙霧的起步點 [ Pond-888 ] at 8米ASL 高 兩條藍色的煙霧氣流應凌架在紅色的煙霧氣流之上的兩旁 但去到 [ Pond-666 ] 約 40米ASL 之後 有機會被 [ 扯 ] 進紅色的煙霧氣流裡
4. 綠色的煙霧也有機會被 [ 扯 ] 進紅色的煙霧氣流裡 但應在較高位置

橙色煙霧也有機會被 [ 扯 ] 進紅色的煙霧氣流裡 這裡有兩個可能 :
可能一 [ Pond-555 ] 是 44米至 50米ASL 有機會橙色煙霧能越過 [ 體育用木馬型 ] 小山丘東南脊的 70米位置 在 80米至 90米位置被 [ 扯 ] 進紅色的煙霧氣流裡
可能二 由 [ Pond-555 ] 沿河道下溯去 [ Pond-666 ] 右手邊是個峭壁 高位約是 56米ASL 近 [ Pond-666 ] 的低位約是 40米ASL . 部份的橙色煙霧有可能召越唔到峭壁 倒流至 [ Pond-666 ] 附近位置 於是便被 [ 扯 ] 進紅色的煙霧氣流裡
xxxxxxxxx
基本上 [ Pond-888 ] - [ Pond-777 ] - [ Pond-666 ] - [ Pond-555 ] 一帶都要考慮

   By 盲拳小子 on Thursday, October 29, 2009 - 7:17 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.126.218.6

The Final Proposal is rather straight-forward, it simply lists out 1 main-route and 3 sub-routes for consideration.
在 Final Proposal 裡 也只是列出一條主線和三條副線作考慮
主線一 (M1) 北潭凹 -- 赤徑 --大浪坳 -- 蚺蛇坳 -- 蚺蛇灣 -- 千溪海岸 -- 米粉咀 -- 長咀
副線一 ( S1 ) 由 KK 3150 8275 [ 橫渡黃竹瀝V形位置 ] 下溯黃竹瀝至河流出口入海位置 即 KK 3190 8270 位置
副線二 ( S2 ) 去綑岸/探海洞/攀怪石 由 米粉咀 至 短咀 至 長咀 至 東灣
副線三 ( S3 ) 由 米粉咀 沿山脊上 米粉項

首先 副線三 ( S3 ) 的機會近乎 [ 零 ] 列出這條副線的目的 主要是要特顯其他兩條副線的可行性
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
這裡 有幾個 points 可以作考慮 :
1. MP 是資深行山人仕 應已多次到過赤徑 會知道什麼是 [ 高水位 ] , [ 中水位 ] 和 [ 低水位 ]
2. 若 MP 在事發當日 曾經到過赤徑公廁外面的堤岸 會知道這是 [ 中水位 ]
3. [ 中水位 ] 應不減去千溪海岸的興緻 很有機會成功到達米粉咀
4. 由米粉咀去長咀 通常都會經過 KK 3150 8275 [ 橫渡黃竹瀝V形位置 ] 這個位置
5. 這位置可以望到下游的 [ 倒 S形峽谷 ] 而已有網友 upload 了這位置的相片上網 並稱讚 [ 這個峽谷很美麗 ]
6. 若 MP 當日選擇由這位置下溯黃竹瀝 也是正路的選擇
7. 至於會不會去 探海洞/攀怪石 有幾個項目可以考慮 如下 :
7A. 大家都知道 [ 探海洞/攀怪石 ] 會有機會濕身 衣服濕了 寒風吹埋泥 就會很凍
7B. 之前一晚的氣溫在 [ 10 degree C ] 以下 早上出門時應沒有 [ 探海洞/攀怪石 ] 的意慾
7C. MP 約 9:00 a.m. 在北潭凹下車 下車時和車長的對答也未有顯示 MP 當時有意思去 [ 探海洞/攀怪石 ] 當時的氣溫會仍是很凍
7D. 到中午時分 氣溫回升至約 [ 14 degrees C ] :
oo 7D-1. Mountain Yuen 在回應 [ 太陽豬 ] { 點解可以著短打 } 時 曾說過 [ 唔凍 有風才凍 ]
oo 7D-2. Mountain Yuen 在入短咀前映到另外兩位 hiker , 攤開地布 坐在地上 似乎是在小休/準備食o野/欣賞一望無際的海景/等等 應是風和日麗的情況
7E. 仍有可能 MP 到了米粉咀之後 決定去 [ 探海洞/攀怪石 ]
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
總括來說 黃竹瀝下游應被列入搜索範圍之內

   By 盲拳小子 on Wednesday, October 21, 2009 - 1:24 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.82.82.238

2009-10-16 星斯五 有點空閑時間 去了北角地圖銷售處逛了一逛
暫時未有有用的 Air Photo .

   By 盲拳小子 on Saturday, October 17, 2009 - 2:53 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.82.82.238

原來野豬是會游水的
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
2009-10-16 星島 A10頁 :
本月九日下午 有野豬游至深圳沙頭角近 [ 明思克航母世界 ] 旁的海濱長廊對開海面 漁民發現後嘗試追捕 於是野豬試圖爬上岸 但多番都未能爬上防浪陡坡 在海上追逐約半上小時後被獵獲
oxoxoxoxoxoxo
2009-10-17 生果報 A8頁 :
塔門野豬為患 對村民和露營人仕做成滋擾 估計有部份野豬是由西貢東游過來的
xxxxxxxxxx
之前已有網友確認在長短咀一帶見過野豬

現提供一個可能性作考慮 就是
1. 野豬在溪/水池邊飲完水後 用獠牙將背囊挑起 然後走一段路 在海邊/海中放下背囊

   By 盲拳小子 on Friday, August 21, 2009 - 10:46 pm:  Edit Posted From: 202.82.82.238

在 [ 將 SIM Card 插入手機的企圖 ] 這問題上 現提出兩個方案作考慮 :
Intention 1 -- 是試圖用埋 D餘額
Intention 2 -- 已意味到背囊物主有可能已出事 插入 SIM Card 是等待機會 嘗試講出拾獲背囊的位置給家人和朋友知道
xxxxxxxx
現時的資料 是只有電話打入 沒有電話打出 :
Case 1 -- 打入的電話都是家人/朋友/CVST 的電話
Case 2 -- 打入的電話 是家人/朋友/CVST 的電話 及漁民朋友的電話

若 Case 2 屬實 [ Intention 1 ] 應是正確
若 Case 1 屬實 [ Intention 2 ] 的呼聲很高

若果連 Call-In Call to Service Provider ( CICTSP ) 都沒有 應該是 Intention 2 .
xxxxxxxx
CICSTP 不會在 Phone Log 有紀錄 , record 應在 Equiry Log , 但這 log file 通常 24小時內會自動消失

但現階段已無需要再花時間追查 [ 背囊被拾獲位置 ] 和 [ SIM Card ] 這兩條線索
1. 再來的 Final Proposal 會有較詳盡的解釋 to explain why this is the appropriate action to take at this point in time .


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